-- The examination of running back legacies continues
Note: Last time out we looked at the ten most accomplished running backs in BYU history and trimmed the list to three in contention for GOAT status. Today we begin the journey to crown a king from among the Luke-Jamaal-Harvey triumvirate.
Luke Staley – GOAT Profile
#1 scrimmage yards in a single season (1,902 yards in 2001)
The only player to eclipse 1,900 scrimmage yards in a season in BYU history
#1 yards per carry in a career (5.9) 22. Minimum 250 career carries.
#1 yards per carry in a season (8.0 in 20013)
First nationally in yards per carry in 200133. Minimum of 100 attempts.
#1 in TDs scored in a career (48)
#1 in 100-yard rushing games in a season (9 in 2001)
#1 in TDs scored in a single season (28 in 2001)44. For comparison, BYU's offense only scored 25 TDs during the horror show that was the 2017 season.
Led the nation in TDs scored in 2001
Greatest Moment: Scoring a touchdown, a two-point conversion, and another touchdown versus Utah within a 150 second span to save the 2001 rivalry game.
Harvey Unga – GOAT Profile
#1 in scrimmage yards in a career (4,540)
#2 in career rushing yards per game (91 yards per game)55. My "per game" figures for each of the trio are slightly adjusted. For example, I don't include Harvey's 2006 games in his per game totals. Similarly I don't include Jamaal's 2012 game against Boise or his 2014 UCF game in which he only got one carry.
#2 in scrimmage yards in a single season (1,882 in 2007)
#11 nationally in scrimmage yards in 2007
#2 in total TDs in a single season (17 TDs in 2007)
Tied for #5 in total TDs in a single season (15 in 2008)
#2 in career rushing yards (3,455)
Wildest stat: scored a TD in 71% of the games he played in. Gained over 100 scrimmage yards in 66% of the games he played in.77. For comparison: Jamaal 50% and 50%; Staley 73% and 57%.
Greatest moment: murdering Robert Johnson.
Jamaal Williams – GOAT Profile
#1 in career rushing yards per game (97 per game) 88. For comparison, 91 per game for Harvey and 86 for Luke. Again this metric is adjusted to not include Harvey's '06 games or Luke's 1 carry game against FSU or Jamaal's 1 carry games against '14 UCF and '12 Boise.
#1 in 100-yard rushing games in a career (16)
#1 in rushing yards in a career (3,901)
#1 in rushing attempts in a career (726)
#1 in rushing yards in a single game (286 vs Toledo)
Tied for #3 in yards per carry in a career (5.4) 9
Wildest stat: Fumbled once every 131 touches
Greatest moment: Outdueling Kareem Hunt.
In summary, Luke has the nicest looking profile. He was the spearhead of a team that gained the most yards in BYU history, cemented every touchdown stat in a Stockton-like manner, recorded more individual scrimmage yards in a season than any person to wear the BYU uniform, and led his team to more wins in 2001 than either of his peers managed.
Jamaal has the splashy resume, owning 2 of the top 10 single-game rushing performances at BYU, as well as the biggie, the career rushing yards record. He took over five games into his freshman season and waged battle on the BYU histories for the rest of his career.
And then there’s Harvey, the human Panzer who in 2007 was only 20 yards short of matching Luke’s 2001 record for scrimmage yards (albeit in 3 more games). Is this the most underrated season by a BYU player ever?
And ... you already knew most of this right? To find BYU's GOAT we've got to go deeper. This isn't an easy position to name a champion, like receiver (Collie) or defensive line (Buck). The margins between Harvey, Luke, and Jamaal are as thin as office toilet paper. So how does one go deep? With a game of 20 questions! Let’s begin with an easy one.
Which player was the fastest?
Shall we rely on the 40-yard dash for this one? Here are the times in order of fastest to barely less fast.
Luke ran an official 4.42 (unofficial low of 4.39 and high of 4.55)
Jamaal Williams ran a 4.59 (low of 4.5)
Harvey Ran a 4.65 (low of 4.55, high of 4.76)
I do agree quickness and "game speed" aren't perfectly reflected in 40 times -- see Austin Collie -- but I feel in this case the numbers align with what we saw on the field. Jamaal was faster than Harvey and Luke was faster than Jamaal. Sadly none of the three were as fast as Kyle Whittingham recruiting a felon transfer.
Who faced the toughest competition?
It's close, but when you consider the numbers relative to games played, about 38% of Jamaal's games came against top-40 teams compared to 29% for Harvey. All told that's enough for me to agree with common fan perception that Jamaal had the toughest sledding, though the gap isn't as big as I initially assumed.
Staley 1191313. The math for speed score is (weight * 200)/(40 time^4). Also, the highest speed score on record is 126.9 by Keith Marshall in 2016 so a 119 by Luke is solid!
Unga 104
Jamaal 96 1414. Of course the guy with the worst speed score has had the most successful NFL career of the three :|
This is my long way of saying I don’t feel there is a major differentiator in athleticism among these three. I don’t even know which attribute of athleticism is most critical: speed, power, balance, agility, endurance, coordination? If you want to say Luke is the most athletic because he jumped an inch higher and ran faster than the others I won't fight you (after all, he was the only one of the three deemed athletic enough to return the occasional kickoff, if that means anything to you). I'll just wonder if we're undervaluing other elements of athleticism solely because we struggle to measure them.
As for the road, Luke was not as awesome away from friendly confines. Staley averaged a whopping 35 rushing yards fewer per road game than home game. There's some noise in that calculation due to a couple road games in which he only had a few carries, but still! Jamaal suffered on the road too, averaging 20 rushing yards less per game when away from home.
Step two: track the success or failure of every third down attempt that featured one of the three runners.
Step three: decide if you want to include passes thrown at running backs that were incomplete (I didn't. There's too much unknown as to who was at fault. Did the RB drop the pass? Or was it a bad throw? Was it broken up by the defender?)
Step four: decide if you want to count handoffs or screens on 3rd and long when the offense is clearly surrendering (I didn't. I don't think a running back should be punished for not converting on a delayed handoff on 3rd and 17.)
This analysis16 16. Performed using the same steps as outlined for 3rd downs, just with different end criteria. also confirmed something I’ve long suspected, that Luke Staley was one of the most automatic players BYU has ever had near the end zone. For this question I charted all plays where the RBs were handed or thrown the ball within the 5-yard line. Before we bow our heads to the greatest touchdown maker in Cougar lore, let’s list Harvey and Jamaal’s numbers for dramatic effect.
Who had the most help from surrounding talent?
Harvey Unga played with the fifth-best QB in BYU history -- an unpopular claim, yet one I stand by -- ,a top-3 TE, my favorite player of all-time at WR, and two linemen who made the '07 and '08 all-MWC 1st team1818. Dallas Reynolds as well as my old homework copying buddy, Ray Feinga. and another (Matt Reynolds) who made freshman All-American in '08 and an all-MWC selection in '09. Those were some stacked squads.
During Luke’s best season he played alongside the perfect option complement in Brandon Doman, a top-5 WR of all-time in Reno Mahe, a TE who caught 120 passes for 1,300 yards during his time in the NFL (Doug Jolley), and one lineman who made all-MWC (Jason Scukanec). That’s not bad either.
Jamaal Williams … holy yikes. In his glorious 2016 season BYU’s biggest non-Jamaal and non-Taysom playmakers were Nick Kurtz and Colby Pearson. Harvey had Dennis Pitta on his team. Luke had Doug Jolley on his team. Jamaal had this.
BUTTTTTT. Jamaal did have Tejan Koroma leading the charge during his most successful year, the fellow who was graded the second highest center in the country by PFF in 2016. And Jamaal's job was made infinitely easier thanks to defenders constantly focusing on Taysom. Still, when you evaluate Jamaal you have to wonder if Harvey and Luke helped some old ladies cross the street in the pre-existence because they enjoyed some charmed lives. (Well, you know, except for Luke's 614 surgeries)
Who benefited the most from scheme?
Who cares! One of the stupidest arguments against Luke Staley is that his prodigious stats were inflated because BYU ran the option so much. Cool. If the option is some magic bullet that pumps out Doak Walker winners and 12-2 seasons why isn’t everyone in the country running it? Why didn't it work for BYU in 2002?
Let’s start with Jamaal’s trademark because his is so fun to watch. I present to you Jamaal, the stiff-armer.
How does Jamaal's stiff-arm compare to Harvey’s primary weapon, the shoulder bomb of doom?
Here's the time a few Tulane folk thought they had Luke boxed in.
I love each of these trademarks. Watching Staley make defenders look like they belonged in junior college was probably the most fun of the three, but if I were building a running back from scratch I'd take Harvey's shoulder bomb. It's the easiest move to execute repeatedly, it succeeded more often than Jamaal's stiff arm or Luke's "HE GONE", and also happens to be the most punishing to defensive players. Think of it this way: when Harvey lowered his shoulder the defender was the one getting tackled.
Note: you could argue each of these guys best move was their stutter step, jump cut juke seen here and here for Harvey, here and here for Luke, and here and here for Jamaal, but they all had that same move. In my book your best move has to be something different your peers didn't bring to the table.
Speaking of avoiding tackles, who did that best?
I wish we had PFF data for the Harvey and Luke eras! Alas, we only have numbers for Jamaal and even then for just part of his career. In 2016 Jamaal was credited with avoiding 55 tackles, and for his partial 2014 season he’s credited with avoiding 12. That’s 67 missed tackles in 344 rushing attempts, which means for every 20 carries Jamaal made 4 guys miss, either by breaking a tackle or evading one. I’d be shocked if Luke didn't match that. I'd be even more shocked if Harvey didn't exceed that.
A quick check of criminal census records confirms there were no Ute fans during Luke and Harvey’s careers so we’ll never know the answer to this one. 2020. I wrote this is as a joke but the truth is when I reached out to the three biggest Ute fans I'm closest to, none watched during the Staley years and only one followed the team during the Unga years (sometimes you can't make this stuff up). For what it's worth the one fan worried more about Harvey than Jamaal.
Who delivered in big games? (rivalries, ranked contests, P5s, bowls)
Luke came through massively in the two biggest contests of the 2001 season, the rivalry against Utah and the road tilt at Mississippi State, but it’s kind of silly to highlight just two games when he came through in every game he played that year. Get this. From October 1st through the end of his 2001 campaign -- i.e., as BYU's ranking climbed and the pressure on Staley and the team mounted -- Luke averaged 198 yards and 3 touchdowns per game (on 8 yards per touch). I mean what can you even say besides LOL LOL LOL.
Luke was good in his early career too, opening his freshman season with stellar performances in wins against Washington and Cal, posting 95 scrimmage yards and 2 scores versus the Huskies and 111 scrimmage yards and 1 score vs Cal. He delivered 100 scrimmage yards and 3 TDs in a win versus #24 Colorado State and 89 yards and 2 TDs in a loss to Virginia. It was one of the most electric introductions by a BYU player that I remember. Then came the injuries.
At the peak of his injury troubles Staley missed the '99 rivalry game, managed a combined 8 yards in the '99 bowl game against Marshall and the '00 season opener against Florida State, missed the '00 Virginia and Mississippi State games, squeaked out 38 yards versus Syracuse and finished the season with 44 yards at Utah. In those 7 big games Staley gained 90 TOTAL yards, zero touchdowns and simply didn't play in 3 of the contests. That's a noticeable skid mark on his big game credentials.
Jamaal is an interesting case because he played so many more "big games" than the other two. As you might expect, the more big games you play, the more varied the results become. Which means Jamaal had some duds – the bowl game against Washington in 2013 (12 carries for 31 yards), the 2016 UCLA game (14 carries, 28 yards), Oregon State in 2012 (15 carries, 36 yards). Not to mention in three games facing Utah the highest scrimmage yardage mark he reached was 68. But overall the hits outnumber the misses for Jamaal.
He went over 160 scrimmage yards six times against P5 teams in his career (Georgia Tech in '12, Virginia and Texas in '13, and Arizona, West Virginia, and Michigan State in '16). No one else can make a claim like that.
Jamaal was good at #21 Wisconsin in 2013 (16 touches, 90 yards), better at #5 Notre Dame in 2012 (106 yards on 21 touches), and best against #15 Texas in 2013 (31 touches, 185 yards). Jamaal may not have the clutch, memorable moments that Harvey and Luke have, but by volume nobody was better in big games.
So what about Harvey? Well there’s a reason I call him the Ute Slapper. In three games against the Utes Harvey delivered the below stat lines:
2007: 24 touches, 168 yards, 1 TD
2008: 18 touches, 121 yards, 2 TDs 2121. When I'm 91 in a rest home I'll be explaining to my caregiver that Robert Anae should face charges for not force feeding Harvey the ball in the '08 Utah game.
2009: 23 touches, 116 yards, 1 TD
And Harvey wasn't content to JUST score on the Utes. He wanted to hurt them. We all remember the Robert Johnson incident, but we forget he tried to put this Ute on a poster too.
Unfortunately #10 for Utah was prepared. I imagine during Robert Johnson's memorial services Coach Whitt made each of his player swear a blood oath that they wouldn't let Harvey humiliate them again.
Here’s the thing with Harvey. Did he ever not matter? He rushed for over 100 yards or scored a touchdown in 76% of the games he played.
Of the games he didn't score or get to 100 yards, one came at Tulane when he was recovering from injury and only got 5 touches; one came against Wyoming when he got 92 yards; one came versus TCU when he got 93 yards, and one came against New Mexico when he got 90 yards. Three of the remaining games saw him put up 71, 79, and 84 yards. To put it another way there were only 3 times in his 38-game career where he had less than 70 yards or didn’t score a TD.
In other words the guy almost never had a bad game. You’ve got the horrific game against UCLA's elite run defense in the ’07 Vegas Bowl, a woof against SDSU in '08 2222. The bad game in 2008 isn't surprising considering the year prior Harvey victimized the Aztecs to the tune of 190 yards and 3 touchdowns. The Aztecs entire game plan in 2008 was to make sure that didn't happen again. Congratulations it worked! Oh, except for the part where Max Hall threw for 317 yards and 3 TDs and BYU was up 41 to 6 with 3 minutes left in the game. But good job stopping Harvey! and that’s it.
So ... once again everyone is pretty even.
- Luke averaged 108 scrimmage yards in big games. Harvey averaged 112 scrimmage yards in big games.
- Harvey averaged 86 rushing yards per big game. Jamaal averaged 89 rushing yards per big game.
- Jamaal averaged 4.8 YPC in big games. Harvey averaged 4.9.
- Luke went over 100 scrimmage yards in 46% of the big games he played. Jamaal went over 100 scrimmage yards in 45% of the big games he played.
- Harvey's worst big game came against a P12 team in a bowl. Jamaal's worst big game came against a P12 team in a bowl.
- Harvey's best rushing performance in a big game came against Utah. Luke's best rushing performance in a big game came against Utah.
Hooray, we have yet another question with an unclear answer. Harvey delivered the most consistent results ... but Jamaal has him beat by volume ... but Luke at his best performed at a level the other two can't match.
I guess the only thing we can do is ask more questions ... tomorrow.
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